MaxCut for $\mathrm{MTP}_2$ Covariances

Let $X=(X_1,\dots,X_n)\in\{0,1\}^n$ have a multivariate totally positive ($\mathrm{MTP}_2$) law. We prove that $$ \sum_{i<j}\mathbb{E}\left[\left|\mathrm{Cov}(X_i,X_j \mid X_{[n]\setminus\{i,j\}})\right|\right] \le n/2, $$ and more generally a weighted MaxCut inequality for the fully conditioned covariances. As an application, we confirm a conjecture of Allen and O'Donnell on correlation rounding for signed $\mathrm{MTP}_2$ laws.