How to score LLM forecasts honestly: our Claude Opus swarm vs Polymarket, resolved
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How to score LLM forecasts honestly: our Claude Opus swarm vs Polymarket, resolved
We locked forecasts from an AI agent swarm on Claude Opus 5.5, single model calls and market data before four Polymarket markets resolved. Here is how we scored them, with code, and what the market price did to all of them.
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